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Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Modest top-line and EPS beat alongside margin mix pressure: Revenue $18.92B vs S&P $18.89B* and adjusted EPS $0.44 vs S&P $0.40*, while gross margin fell 60+ bps YoY on pharmacy/digital mix and price investments offset by SG&A productivity .
  • Demand drivers: adjusted identical sales +2.2% (2.1% unadjusted), digital +23%, pharmacy strength (GLP‑1, share gains), loyalty members +13% to 48.7M -.
  • Guidance: raised FY25 identical sales (2.2%–2.75%) and adjusted EPS ($2.06–$2.19); adjusted EBITDA unchanged at $3.8–$3.9B (incl. ~$65M from 53rd week); capex nudged up to $1.8–$1.9B .
  • Capital allocation catalysts: announced $750M ASR (≈8% of shares) and enlarged buyback to $2.75B; dividend maintained at $0.15; post‑quarter priced $1.5B of new notes (5.50% 2031; 5.75% 2034) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Pharmacy and digital outperformed, driving comps and engagement; management highlighted GLP‑1 strength, vaccine momentum, and digital features like Ask AI; e‑commerce is “near break‑even” with store‑based fulfillment advantage - -.
    • Productivity engine delivered SG&A leverage (ex‑fuel −50 bps YoY) funding price investments; management reiterated a $1.5B savings program through FY27 and detailed AI/automation use cases - .
    • Shareholder returns: $550.1M YTD buybacks and a $750M ASR; board authorization raised to $2.75B; dividend declared at $0.15 .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Gross margin rate 27.0% (−63 bps ex‑fuel and LIFO) on pharmacy/digital mix and price investments despite productivity offsets .
    • Adjusted EBITDA down YoY to $848M and EBITDA margin 4.5% (vs 4.9% LY), reflecting mix headwinds and continued investment .
    • Slight estimate guidance discrepancy: press release raised FY25 adj. EPS to $2.06–$2.19, while on the call CFO referenced $2.16–$2.19; investors should anchor to the filed 8‑K .

Financial Results

Note: Q2 2026 corresponds to the 12 weeks ended September 6, 2025.

MetricQ2 2025 (YoY comp)Q1 2026 (Seq prior)Q2 2026 (Current)
Revenue ($B)$18.55 $24.88 $18.92
Gross Margin %27.6% 27.1% 27.0%
Selling & Admin %25.8% 25.4% 25.4%
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)$900.6 $1,111.0 $848.4
Adj. EBITDA Margin %4.9% 4.5% 4.5%
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.25 $0.41 $0.30
Adjusted EPS$0.51 $0.55 $0.44

KPIs

KPIQ2 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Identical Sales Growth+2.8% +2.2% adj. (2.1% unadj.)
Digital Sales Growth+25% +23%
Loyalty Members (MM)47.3 48.7

Vs. S&P Global Consensus (Q2 2026)

MetricConsensus*ActualSurprise
Revenue ($B)$18.89*$18.92 +$0.03B (beat)
Adjusted EPS$0.40*$0.44 +$0.04 (beat)
EBITDA ($MM)$825.0*$848.4 +$23.4 (beat)

Note: S&P Global also reports an “actual” EBITDA of ~$827.6MM in its standardized series; company-reported adjusted EBITDA is $848.4MM, which we use for company comparisons . Values with an asterisk (*) are from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Identical Sales GrowthFY 20252.0%–2.75% 2.2%–2.75% Raised (lower bound)
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$3.8B–$3.9B (incl. ~$65M 53rd week) $3.8B–$3.9B (incl. ~$65M 53rd week) Maintained
Adjusted EPSFY 2025$2.03–$2.16 $2.06–$2.19 Raised
Effective Tax RateFY 202523.5%–24.5% 23.5%–24.5% Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$1.7B–$1.9B $1.8B–$1.9B Raised (lower bound)
DividendQuarterly$0.15 declared May & Aug $0.15 declared for Nov 7, 2025 Maintained

Discrepancy note: CFO referenced $2.16–$2.19 on the call; filed 8‑K and press release state $2.06–$2.19. Use filed guidance for modeling .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q2 2026)Trend
AI/Technology ModernizationEmphasized core platform, digital growth; FY24 digital +24% -. Q1: digital +25% focus; investments in tech -.Expanded use cases (Ask AI, price/promo, merchandising with OpenAI), India tech center; AI for shrink, labor, real estate analytics - .Accelerating adoption
E‑commerceQ1: +25% growth; nearing breakeven .+23% growth; “near break‑even”; store‑based fulfillment advantages -.Improving profitability
Pharmacy/GLP‑1Q4/Q1: pharmacy as key comp driver .Outperformed; GLP‑1 and vaccine strength; new customers from competitor closures; initial basket dip recovers, margin‑accretive mix -.Strong growth; mix dilutive to GM
Pricing/ValueQ1: investments in value proposition .Surgical price investments funded by productivity; personalized loyalty discounts emphasized .Active; measured
Productivity ProgramQ4/Q1: cost initiatives, shrink reduction .On track for $1.5B FY25–FY27; SG&A leverage −50 bps ex‑fuel; offshore hubs in Manila/India - .Ongoing delivery
Macro/TariffsFY24 risk factors cited -.Minimal tariff impact; ~90% domestic sourcing; mitigation via sourcing/vendor partnerships .Neutral
Capital AllocationQ1: $314.8M buybacks; dividend $0.15 .$550.1M YTD buybacks + $750M ASR; leverage ~2.2x post‑ASR; flexibility for capex/M&A - .Shareholder‑friendly

Management Commentary

  • “It is a new day at Albertsons… investing with purpose, modernizing capabilities through scalable technology… The $750 million accelerated share repurchase… underscores our conviction in the value of our business.” — CEO Susan Morris .
  • “Adjusted identical sales grew 2.2%... digital sales +23%... adjusted EBITDA $848 million and EPS $0.44” — CEO Susan Morris (prepared remarks) .
  • “Gross margin decreased 63 bps vs last year due to mix (pharmacy, digital)… SG&A rate improved 50 bps ex‑fuel… we expect continued discipline” — President & CFO Sharon McCollam .
  • “We announced a $750 million ASR… net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio will be ~2.2x” — President & CFO Sharon McCollam -.
  • “We’re getting closer to break‑even to profitability in e‑commerce… our proximity solves last mile and enhances freshness” — CEO Susan Morris .

Q&A Highlights

  • Pricing strategy: “Aggressive” but “surgical” by category/market; offset via vendor funds and productivity; loyalty/personalized discounts not captured in surveys .
  • Gross margin mix: Pharmacy and digital (highest LTV customers) drive YoY rate pressure; productivity funds price investments; expect similar margin dynamics in back half -.
  • Pharmacy dynamics: New customer wins from competitor closures; GLP‑1 customers show initial basket dip that recovers with margin‑accretive categories (protein, fresh produce) -.
  • Capital allocation: ASR does not preclude capex or M&A; leverage remains flexible post‑ASR .
  • E‑commerce unit economics: Near breakeven; proprietary systems optimize in‑store picking; remodels retrofit for e‑commerce space .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2026 actuals compared to S&P Global consensus: revenue $18.92B vs $18.89B* (beat), adjusted EPS $0.44 vs $0.40* (beat). S&P’s standardized EBITDA indicates ~$825.0MM consensus and ~$827.6MM actual; company-reported adjusted EBITDA was $848.4MM, highlighting definitional differences . Values with an asterisk (*) are from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Slight top‑line and EPS beat driven by pharmacy and digital; mix dilution to gross margin persisted but was offset by SG&A productivity, supporting earnings resilience .
  • FY25 guidance raised on comps and EPS; investors should model to filed EPS range $2.06–$2.19 despite call commentary; EBITDA outlook unchanged, implying continued mix headwinds near term .
  • Structural drivers remain intact: digital +23%, loyalty up to 48.7M, e‑commerce near breakeven, and AI‑enabled productivity — set‑ups for FY26 “algo” with 2%+ comps and improving EBITDA growth trajectory - - .
  • Capital return is a tangible catalyst: $750M ASR (~8% of shares) and $2.75B total authorization provide downside support; dividend sustained at $0.15 .
  • Watch list: pharmacy mix on gross margin, pace of SG&A savings realization, unit inflection from price investments, and any updates to litigation/merger‑related costs captured in non‑GAAP adjustments - -.
  • Balance sheet/liquidity: follow-through on notes refinancing (5.50% 2031; 5.75% 2034) and ABL usage to manage maturities and rate mix .
  • Near-term trading implication: narrative skewed positive on buyback and guide-up; print was “clean beat” on EPS/revenue but margin mix remains a debate — stock likely sensitive to evidence of unit acceleration and further productivity delivery - .

Footnotes:

  • All company financials and commentary cited from the Q2 FY2025 earnings press release/8‑K and earnings call transcript - - and prior quarters - -.
  • S&P Global consensus and “actual” in estimates table marked with an asterisk (*) are values retrieved from S&P Global.